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ciate
d
w
it
h
t
h
e
u
s
e
o
f
m
et
h
o
d
s
o
f
co
r
r
elatio
n
an
d
r
eg
r
ess
io
n
an
al
y
s
is
i
n
ag
r
o
m
eteo
r
o
lo
g
y
.
Fo
r
o
u
r
r
esear
ch
,
th
e
d
ev
elo
p
ed
co
m
p
u
ter
s
y
s
t
e
m
"
E
co
ter
r
a
"
w
as
m
o
r
e
s
u
itab
le
f
o
r
d
ev
elo
p
in
g
s
o
lu
tio
n
s
ta
k
i
n
g
in
to
ac
co
u
n
t
en
v
ir
o
n
m
e
n
tal
f
ac
to
r
s
[
9
]
,
b
u
t
it
d
id
n
o
t
h
av
e
m
eteo
r
o
lo
g
ical
f
ac
to
r
s
f
o
r
th
e
d
if
f
u
s
io
n
o
f
EP
.
T
h
e
p
r
er
eq
u
is
ites
f
o
r
o
u
r
r
esear
ch
to
a
less
er
ex
ten
t
w
er
e
th
e
w
o
r
k
in
t
h
e
f
ield
o
f
co
m
p
u
te
r
u
s
e
[
10
]
,
[
11
]
an
d
o
ld
m
et
h
o
d
s
o
f
d
ata
a
n
al
y
s
is
a
n
d
p
r
o
ce
s
s
in
g
[
1
2
]
,
[
1
3
]
,
u
n
f
o
r
tu
n
atel
y
,
n
o
t i
n
th
e
f
ield
o
f
u
r
b
an
ec
o
lo
g
y
.
As
a
m
at
h
e
m
atica
l
s
u
p
p
o
r
t
f
o
r
th
e
in
f
o
r
m
atio
n
s
y
s
te
m
,
w
e
u
s
ed
s
o
l
u
tio
n
s
to
d
ata
ass
i
m
ilatio
n
p
r
o
b
lem
s
: a
l
g
o
r
ith
m
s
f
o
r
n
u
m
er
ical
m
o
d
elin
g
o
f
p
o
llu
ta
n
t p
r
o
p
ag
atio
n
,
w
h
ic
h
as
s
es
s
th
e
s
t
ate
o
f
th
e
s
y
s
te
m
i
n
r
ea
l
ti
m
e
s
et
-
d
ata
as
s
i
m
ilatio
n
p
r
o
b
lem
s
[
4
]
,
[
5
]
,
[
1
4
]
,
[
15]
.
W
e
n
ee
d
ed
to
ad
d
th
e
tas
k
to
p
r
ed
ict
th
e
v
al
u
e
o
f
th
e
m
o
d
el
s
ta
te
f
u
n
c
tio
n
i
n
ac
co
r
d
an
ce
w
it
h
th
e
o
b
tain
ed
o
b
s
er
v
atio
n
d
ata,
t
h
at
is
,
to
esti
m
ate
t
h
e
"
r
ea
l
"
s
tate
o
f
th
e
s
y
s
te
m
u
s
in
g
a
m
at
h
e
m
atica
l
m
o
d
el,
a
p
r
io
r
i in
f
o
r
m
at
io
n
an
d
m
ea
s
u
r
e
m
e
n
t d
ata.
I
n
o
th
er
s
cie
n
ti
f
ic
s
t
u
d
ies,
we
h
av
e
f
o
u
n
d
th
at
t
h
er
e
ar
e
2
m
a
in
ap
p
r
o
ac
h
es
to
d
ata
ass
i
m
ilatio
n
:
v
ar
iatio
n
al
a
n
d
d
y
n
a
m
ic
-
s
to
c
h
asti
c,
b
ased
o
n
th
e
Kal
m
an
f
ilter
al
g
o
r
ith
m
.
T
h
e
an
a
l
y
s
i
s
o
f
w
o
r
k
s
o
n
t
h
e
v
ar
iatio
n
al
p
r
in
cip
le
[
1
6
]
,
[
17]
,
th
e
ap
p
licatio
n
o
f
th
e
Kalm
an
al
g
o
r
ith
m
i
n
th
e
p
r
o
b
lem
s
o
f
ass
i
m
i
latio
n
o
f
m
eteo
r
o
lo
g
ical
a
n
d
o
ce
an
ic
o
b
s
er
v
atio
n
s
is
g
i
v
en
in
[
18
]
-
[
22
]
s
h
o
w
ed
t
h
at
th
e
u
s
e
o
f
th
e
ap
p
ar
atu
s
o
f
co
n
j
u
g
ate
eq
u
atio
n
s
i
n
ap
p
licatio
n
to
v
ar
io
u
s
f
ield
s
w
a
s
e
f
f
ec
tiv
e
i
n
th
e
p
r
o
b
le
m
s
o
f
v
ar
i
atio
n
al
ass
i
m
ilatio
n
o
f
d
ata.
Gr
ea
t
c
o
n
tr
ib
u
tio
n
s
w
er
e
m
ad
e
in
o
w
n
r
esear
ch
[
2
3
]
-
[
2
6
]
.
T
h
er
ef
o
r
e,
in
o
u
r
o
w
n
r
esear
ch
o
f
th
e
v
ar
iatio
n
al
t
y
p
e
o
f
d
ata
as
s
i
m
ilatio
n
w
it
h
t
h
e
u
s
e
o
f
th
e
ap
p
ar
atu
s
w
it
h
co
n
j
u
g
ates,
t
h
e
t
o
p
ic
o
f
v
ar
iatio
n
al
d
ata
ass
i
m
ilatio
n
i
s
q
u
ite
ac
ti
v
el
y
d
ev
elo
p
ed
.
I
n
th
e
R
ep
u
b
lic
o
f
Kaz
a
k
h
s
ta
n
,
r
esear
ch
in
th
is
d
ir
ec
tio
n
is
ac
tiv
el
y
co
n
d
u
cted
in
th
e
i
n
d
u
s
tr
ial
cit
y
o
f
Ust
-
Ka
m
e
n
o
g
o
r
s
k
b
y
s
cie
n
tis
ts
o
f
D.
Ser
ik
b
a
y
ev
E
a
s
t
K
az
ak
h
s
ta
n
T
ec
h
n
i
ca
l
u
n
i
v
er
s
i
t
y
[2
7
]
-
[
30
]
.
I
n
th
e
C
o
m
m
o
n
w
ea
lth
o
f
I
n
d
ep
en
d
en
t
States
ac
co
r
d
in
g
to
th
e
d
ir
ec
tio
n
in
v
o
lv
ed
:
I
n
s
tit
u
t
e
o
f
co
m
p
u
tatio
n
al
m
at
h
e
m
a
tics
a
n
d
m
at
h
e
m
atic
al
Geo
p
h
y
s
ics
S
ib
er
ia
n
B
r
an
ch
o
f
R
u
s
s
ia
n
A
ca
d
e
m
y
o
f
S
cien
ce
s
(
SB
R
A
S)
(
No
v
o
s
ib
ir
s
k
,
RF
)
,
I
n
s
tit
u
te
o
f
n
u
m
er
ical
m
at
h
e
m
atics
o
f
R
u
s
s
ia
n
A
ca
d
e
m
y
o
f
S
cie
n
ce
s
(
Mo
s
co
w
,
RF
)
,
I
n
s
tit
u
te
o
f
co
m
p
u
tat
io
n
al
tec
h
n
o
lo
g
ies
SB
R
A
S,
M.
V.
L
o
m
o
n
o
s
o
v
Mo
s
co
w
State
U
n
i
v
er
s
it
y
(
RF
).
T
h
e
p
u
r
p
o
s
e
o
f
th
ese
s
t
u
d
ies
is
:
to
f
o
r
m
u
late
an
i
n
f
o
r
m
at
io
n
s
y
s
te
m
o
f
ec
o
lo
g
ical
m
o
n
ito
r
in
g
o
f
at
m
o
s
p
h
er
ic
co
n
ta
m
in
a
n
t
s
,
wh
ich
ca
n
b
e
u
s
ed
to
ass
e
s
s
t
h
e
co
n
d
itio
n
o
f
t
h
e
air
i
n
t
h
e
at
m
o
s
p
h
er
ic
s
u
r
f
ac
e
la
y
er
o
f
t
h
e
A
l
m
at
y
cit
y
,
as
well
as
m
ak
e
m
at
h
e
m
atica
ll
y
r
e
aso
n
ab
le
lo
ca
l
p
r
ed
ictio
n
o
f
ai
r
p
o
llu
tio
n
s
u
b
j
ec
t
to
HM
.
Ob
j
ec
tiv
es
o
f
t
h
e
s
tu
d
y
:
i)
T
o
cr
ea
te
a
s
cie
n
ti
f
ic
b
as
is
f
o
r
m
o
d
elin
g
m
e
s
o
m
eteo
r
o
l
o
g
ical
at
m
o
s
p
h
er
ic
p
r
o
ce
s
s
es
f
o
r
th
e
cit
y
o
n
th
e
b
asis
o
f
en
v
ir
o
n
m
e
n
tal
m
o
n
ito
r
in
g
o
f
at
m
o
s
p
h
er
ic
p
o
llu
tio
n
to
cr
ea
te
a
in
f
o
r
m
atio
n
s
y
s
te
m
;
ii)
T
o
cr
ea
te
th
e
s
u
b
s
y
s
te
m
o
f
s
o
f
t
w
ar
e
th
at
u
s
es
m
at
h
e
m
atica
l
to
o
ls
to
b
u
ild
a
p
o
llu
tio
n
m
o
d
el
an
d
to
ass
ess
th
e
s
ta
te
o
f
th
e
s
y
s
te
m
i
n
r
ea
l
tim
e
;
iii)
T
o
d
ev
elo
p
an
in
f
o
r
m
a
tio
n
s
y
s
te
m
a
n
d
d
atab
ase
th
at
o
p
ti
m
ize
s
th
e
p
r
o
ce
s
s
o
f
m
o
n
i
to
r
in
g
at
m
o
s
p
h
er
ic
air
p
o
llu
tio
n
o
f
HM
;
an
d
iv
)
T
o
p
r
e
d
ict
th
e
co
n
ce
n
tr
atio
n
o
f
HM
.
2.
T
H
E
P
R
O
P
O
S
E
D
A
L
G
O
R
I
T
H
M
Ou
r
p
r
o
p
o
s
ed
alg
o
r
ith
m
f
o
r
d
ev
elo
p
in
g
a
n
e
w
i
n
f
o
r
m
atio
n
s
y
s
te
m
f
o
r
o
p
ti
m
izin
g
m
o
n
ito
r
in
g
o
f
air
p
o
llu
tio
n
w
it
h
HM
o
n
th
e
e
x
a
m
p
le
o
f
A
l
m
at
y
cit
y
is
as
f
o
ll
o
w
s
:
i)
A
r
ea
s
h
a
v
e
b
ee
n
s
elec
ted
f
o
r
s
a
m
p
lin
g
air
(
in
th
i
s
ca
s
e,
f
o
r
A
l
m
at
y
ci
t
y
)
;
ii)
Dete
r
m
i
n
ed
th
e
co
n
ten
t
o
f
HM
in
th
e
m
is
b
y
a
w
e
ll
-
k
n
o
w
n
m
et
h
o
d
u
s
i
n
g
a
s
p
ec
ial
d
ev
ice
“
S
h
i
m
ad
zu
”
a
n
d
th
e
d
eg
r
ee
o
f
air
p
o
llu
tio
n
;
ii
i)
C
r
ea
ted
a
d
ata
b
ase
o
n
air
p
o
llu
tio
n
b
y
HM
an
d
m
eteo
r
o
lo
g
ical
d
ata
o
f
t
h
e
ci
t
y
is
b
ein
g
;
i
v
)
A
n
ap
p
licatio
n
is
cr
ea
ted
t
h
at
f
o
r
m
u
lates
n
etC
DF
(
n
et
w
o
r
k
co
m
m
o
n
d
ata
f
o
r
m
)
f
iles
.
T
h
e
n
et
C
DF
f
i
les
cr
ea
ted
at
t
h
is
s
ta
g
e
ar
e
u
s
ed
as
in
p
u
t
p
ar
am
eter
s
f
o
r
th
e
m
at
h
e
m
a
tical
s
u
p
p
o
r
t
o
f
t
h
e
d
ev
elo
p
ed
in
f
o
r
m
atio
n
s
y
s
te
m
f
o
r
en
v
ir
o
n
m
e
n
tal
m
o
n
i
to
r
in
g
o
f
a
t
m
o
s
p
h
er
ic
p
o
llu
tio
n
;
a
n
d
v
)
T
h
e
m
ath
e
m
atica
l
s
u
p
p
o
r
t
o
f
th
e
i
n
f
o
r
m
atio
n
s
y
s
te
m
f
o
r
en
v
ir
o
n
m
en
tal
m
o
n
ito
r
i
n
g
o
f
at
m
o
s
p
h
er
ic
p
o
llu
tio
n
is
u
s
ed
,
tak
in
g
in
to
ac
co
u
n
t
t
h
e
w
a
y
s
o
f
in
ter
f
ac
i
n
g
th
e
d
ev
elo
p
ed
m
o
d
el
s
an
d
m
et
h
o
d
s
o
f
at
m
o
s
p
h
er
ic
ch
e
m
i
s
tr
y
w
it
h
r
ea
l
m
eteo
r
o
lo
g
ical
d
ata
o
f
th
e
c
r
ea
ted
d
atab
ase
o
n
HM
.
I
t
s
h
o
u
ld
b
e
n
o
ted
th
at
th
e
cr
ea
ted
s
o
f
t
w
ar
e
to
o
ls
in
th
e
d
ev
elo
p
m
e
n
t
o
f
an
i
n
f
o
r
m
atio
n
s
y
s
te
m
f
o
r
en
v
ir
o
n
m
e
n
tal
m
o
n
ito
r
i
n
g
an
d
an
al
y
s
is
o
f
t
h
e
r
esu
lt
s
o
f
m
o
n
ito
r
i
n
g
c
h
an
g
es
i
n
th
e
ch
e
m
ical
co
m
p
o
s
itio
n
o
f
th
e
at
m
o
s
p
h
er
e
allo
w
y
o
u
to
m
an
a
g
e
ca
lc
u
latio
n
s
o
n
a
s
er
v
er
p
latf
o
r
m
.
3.
RE
S
E
ARCH
M
E
T
H
O
DS
I
n
t
h
e
c
o
u
r
s
e
o
f
i
m
p
l
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v
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v
ec
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d
ir
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d
f
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p
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m
p
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r
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m
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p
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e
(
1
)
-
(
3
)
ar
e
r
ef
lecte
d
in
[
34
].
As p
ar
t o
f
f
u
r
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c
h
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e
AR
I
M
A
m
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w
id
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f
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w
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p
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.
4.
RE
SU
L
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S AN
D
D
I
SCU
SS
I
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Fo
r
th
e
f
o
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m
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tio
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C
DF
f
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m
at
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th
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f
o
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k
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w
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:
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as
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ap
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m
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h
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r
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p
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th
e
w
o
r
k
[
3
4
]
.
T
h
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ltin
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e
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C
DF
f
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ar
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s
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T
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tw
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a
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to
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th
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cr
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at
ab
ase:
m
an
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all
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b
y
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m
p
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tin
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it f
r
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m
ex
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s
,
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u
c
h
as M
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Fo
r
th
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m
at
h
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m
a
tical
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o
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t
w
ar
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o
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th
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in
f
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i
m
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m
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A
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m
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s
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s
f
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i
m
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ev
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ter
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lo
g
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d
ata
cr
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a
d
atab
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n
HM
[
3
4
]
.
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[
34
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r
a
m
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w
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rk
(
I
MD
A
F)
w
as
u
s
ed
[
3
0
]
.
T
h
e
I
MD
A
F
s
y
s
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m
s
o
lv
e
s
a
h
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at
h
e
m
a
tical
m
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d
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d
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etals
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f
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d
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P
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As,
C
r
,
C
u
(
Fi
g
u
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4
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.
T
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t
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d
C
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m
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s
s
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g
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f
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t
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y
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t
h
e
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x
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m
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air
o
f
A
l
m
at
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Fi
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)
u
s
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a
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an
d
an
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g
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ated
m
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Me
t
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eq
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f
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m
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d
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g
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v
en
,
an
d
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o
d
s
f
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f
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33
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