TELK
OMNIKA
T
elecommunication,
Computing,
Electr
onics
and
Contr
ol
V
ol.
24,
No.
2,
April
2026,
pp.
527
∼
535
ISSN:
1693-6930,
DOI:
10.12928/TELK
OMNIKA.v24i2.27240
❒
527
Hybrid
classical–quantum
ensemble
lear
ning
f
or
r
eal-time
ight
delay
pr
ediction
at
T
ribhuv
an
Inter
national
Air
port
P
a
v
an
Khanal
1
,
Nanda
Bikram
Adhikari
2
1
Ci
vil
A
viation
Authority
of
Nepal,
Kathmandu,
Nepal
2
Department
of
Electronics
and
Computer
Engineering,
IOE
Pulcho
wk
Campus,
T
ribhuv
an
Uni
v
ersity
,
Lalitpur
,
Nepal
Article
Inf
o
Article
history:
Recei
v
ed
Jun
16,
2025
Re
vised
Dec
4,
2025
Accepted
Jan
30,
2026
K
eyw
ords:
Cate
gorical
boosting
Extreme
gradient
boosting
Machine
learning
Quantum
boosting
Quantum
boosting
plus
Quantum
machine
learning
V
oting
classier
ABSTRA
CT
This
study
in
v
estig
ates
ensemble
learning
using
classical
and
quantum-inspired
models
to
predict
ight
delays
at
T
ribhuv
an
International
Airport
(TIA),
Nepal.
It
combines
traditional
machine
learning
algorithms
with
quantum-based
ap-
proaches,
quantum
boosting
(QBoost)
and
the
h
ybrid
QBoostPlus,
le
v
eraging
quantum
properties
for
f
aster
computation.
The
dataset
includes
ight
records
from
2020
to
2024
and
Meteorological
Aerodrome
Reports
(MET
AR),
analyzed
across
four
sea-
sons
to
capture
delay
patterns
in
domestic
and
international
ights.
A
combined
seasonal
dataset
assesses
model
generalization.
Six
mod-
els;
V
otingCla
ssier
,
adapti
v
e
boosting
(AdaBoost),
xtreme
gradient
boosting
(XGBoost),
cate
gorical
boosting
(CatBoost),
QBoost,
and
QB
oostPlus
are
e
v
al-
uated
based
on
accurac
y
,
precision,
recall,
F1
score,
area
under
the
curv
e(A
UC),
and
e
x
ecution
time.
CatBoost
achie
v
ed
high
accurac
y
(up
to
0.97)
b
ut
slo
wer
e
x
ecution
(up
to
10,570.63
ms).
QBoostPlus
pro
vides
competiti
v
e
A
UC
scores
(0.83–0.95)
with
f
aster
e
x
ecution,
impro
ving
speed
by
up
to
99.94%
and
gen-
erating
predictions
in
as
little
as
6.46
ms.
Al
though
quantum-inspired
models
ha
v
e
slightly
lo
wer
accurac
y
,
their
computational
ef
cienc
y
and
stability
sho
w
strong
potential
for
real-time
ight
delay
prediction.
This
is
the
rst
study
ap-
plying
quantum-inspired
ensemble
learning
to
Nepalese
a
viation
data,
sho
wing
promise
for
re
gional
airports
with
limited
infrastructure.
This
is
an
open
access
article
under
the
CC
BY
-SA
license
.
Corresponding
A
uthor:
Nanda
Bikram
Adhikari
Department
of
Electronics
and
Computer
Engineering,
IOE,
Pulcho
wk
Campus,
T
ribhuv
an
Uni
v
ersity
Lalitpur
44600,
Nepal
Email:
adhikari@ioe.edu.np
1.
INTR
ODUCTION
T
ribhuv
an
International
Airport
(TIA)
in
Kathmandu,
Nepal,
serv
es
as
the
nation’
s
primary
interna-
tional
g
ate
w
ay
,
connecting
to
o
v
er
40
global
destinations.
Despite
its
strate
gic
role,
TIA
f
aces
operational
challenges
due
to
a
single
sloped
runw
ay
,
absence
of
an
instrument
landing
system
(ILS),
and
increasing
traf-
c
demand.
According
to
of
cial
TIA
data,
international
passenger
traf
c
gre
w
by
9.29%
in
2024,
a
v
eraging
13,598
passengers
per
day
[1].
This
sur
ge
has
intensied
congestion,
delays,
and
resource
limitations,
empha-
sizing
the
need
for
intelligent
ight
delay
prediction
systems
to
support
ef
cient
airport
operations.
Flight
delay
prediction
has
been
e
xte
nsi
v
ely
studied
using
v
arious
machine
learning
(ML)
t
echniques.
Deep
learning
approaches,
such
as
con
v
olutional
neural
netw
ork–long
short-term
memory
(CNN-LSTM)
frame-
w
orks,
ha
v
e
sho
wn
promi
sing
results
in
forecasting
delays
based
on
historical
data
[2],
[3].
Hybrid
ML
models
J
ournal
homepage:
https://telk
omnika.uad.ac.id/inde
x.php/TELK
OMNIKA
Evaluation Warning : The document was created with Spire.PDF for Python.
528
❒
ISSN:
1693-6930
combining
dif
ferent
algorithms
further
impro
v
e
prediction
accurac
y
[4],
[5],
while
ensemble
learning
methods
lik
e
gradient
boosting
and
incremental
learning
ef
fecti
v
ely
capture
comple
x
delay
patterns
[6],
[7].
Addition-
ally
,
studies
le
v
eraging
a
viation
big
data
ha
v
e
enhanced
delay
prediction
models
[8],
and
in
v
estig
ations
into
the
impact
of
short-term
features
ha
v
e
rened
model
performance
[9],
[10].
Flight
trajectory
prediction
has
also
beneted
from
h
ybrid
deep
learning
techniques,
impro
ving
four
-dimensional
(4D)
trajectory
forecasts
[11],
and
spatiotemporal
propag
ation
learning
has
been
proposed
for
netw
ork-wide
delay
prediction
[12].
Recent
adv
ancements
include
transformer
architectures
for
temporal
modeling
in
airport
delay
prediction
[13],
[14].
In
parallel,
quantum
machine
learning
(QML)
techniques
are
emer
ging
as
no
v
el
approaches
for
aerodynamic
classication
and
time
series
forecasting
in
a
viation.
Quantum
support
v
ector
machines
(QSVM)
and
data
re-uploading
quantum
methods
ha
v
e
demonstrated
potential
in
handling
lar
ge-scale
spatiotemporal
data
and
traf
c
forecasting
[15],
[16],
opening
ne
w
a
v
enues
for
ight
delay
modeling.
Compared
to
h
ybrid
models
lik
e
stacking
and
bagging
[17],
[18],
quantum
boosting
plus
(QBoost-
Plus)
int
e
grat
es
quantum-inspired
optimization
with
ensemble
fusion,
using
area
under
the
curv
e
(A
UC)-based
weighting
to
impro
v
e
speed
and
accurac
y
without
iterat
i
v
e
retraining
[19].
T
ransformer
-based
ensembles
[13],
[20]
ha
v
e
sho
wn
high
accurac
y
in
ight
delay
prediction
b
ut
with
hea
vy
computational
costs,
limiting
real-time
use
in
constrained
en
vironments.
Recent
QML
de
v
elopments
[16]
in
transportation
and
time-series
forecasting,
such
as
quantum
data
re-uploading,
of
fer
competiti
v
e
accurac
y
and
f
aster
con
v
er
gence
o
v
er
classical
models.
Hybrid
quantum
models
lik
e
quantum
k
ernel
l
ong
short-term
memory
(QK-LSTM)
ha
v
e
impro
v
ed
predicti
v
e
ef
cienc
y
and
reduced
computational
costs
in
climate
time-series
tasks
[21].
Quantum
long
short-term
mem-
ory
(QLSTM)
sho
ws
f
aster
con
v
er
g
e
nce
and
lo
wer
test
loss
than
classical
LSTM
on
solar
forecasting
[22],
while
quantum
sequential
recurrent
neural
netw
ork
(QSe
gRNN)
achie
v
es
comparable
or
better
accurac
y
with
fe
wer
parameters
[23].
These
results
highlight
QML
’
s
potential
to
o
v
ercome
late
n
c
y
and
scalability
issues
in
transportation
and
a
viation
forecasting.
This
study
presents
the
rst
application
of
quantum-inspired
ensemble
learning
for
ight
delay
predic-
tion
in
Nepal,
focusing
on
TIA.
Existing
ML
models
often
lack
the
speed
and
scalability
needed
for
real-time
use
in
resource-constrained
settings.
T
o
address
this,
we
propose
QBoostPlus
a
h
ybrid
frame
w
ork
combin-
ing
classical
ensembles
with
quantum-inspired
optimization
to
reduce
comple
xity
.
Using
a
multi-season
ight
and
meteorological
aerodrome
reports
(MET
AR)
weather
datasets,
the
model
impro
v
es
both
accurac
y
and
ef-
cienc
y
in
delay
forecasting.
It
supports
real-tim
e
decision-making
and
is
adaptable
to
other
re
gional
airports,
adv
ancing
smart
airport
initiati
v
es.
The
k
e
y
contrib
utions
of
this
study
include:
(i)
inte
grating
classical
ensemble
models
with
quantum-
inspired
optimization
for
delay
prediction;
(ii)
proposing
QBoostPlus
for
f
ast
and
accurate
delay
prediction
suitable
for
real-tim
e
use;
(iii)
e
v
aluating
seasonal
and
aggre
g
ate
datasets
to
assess
model
generalization;
and
(i
v)
demonstrating
trade-of
fs
between
accurac
y
and
e
x
ecution
time
to
inform
h
ybrid
deplo
yment
strate
gies.
2.
METHOD
2.1.
Dataset
and
pr
epr
ocessing
This
study
utilized
tw
o
primary
datasets:
the
A
viBit
T
raf
c
Solutions
Dataset,
which
includes
12
ight-related
features
such
as
ight
number
,
date,
scheduled
departure
and
arri
v
al
times,
tra
v
el
time,
origin
and
destination,
distance
and
actual
arri
v
al
time
in
the
training
set,
and
a
test
set
with
the
same
features
e
xcept
actual
arri
v
al
time.
The
second
is
the
MET
AR
dataset,
containing
13
meteorological
features
from
the
TIA
MET
AR
station,
including
visibility
,
sk
y
conditions,
tempera
ture,
wind,
pressure,
humidity
,
and
precipitation.
Both
datasets
were
clean,
with
no
missing
v
alues
or
duplicates.
Data
preprocessing
in
v
olv
ed
mer
ging
the
datasets
into
a
single
data
frame
(DataFrame),
synchronizing
weather
data
to
coordinated
uni
v
ersal
time
(UTC)
and
rounding
timestamps
to
the
nearest
hour
.
More
than
200,000
communication
records
were
collected
from
2020
to
2024.
K
e
y
subsets
that
signicantly
contrib
ute
to
the
model’
s
performance
include:
seasonal
data
with
9,522
training
and
3,742
test
samples,
and
a
combined
approach
with
3,978
training
and
1,610
test
samples.
Feature
engineering
included
encoding
sk
y
conditions
,
imputing
zero
v
alues,
remo
ving
redundant
features,
and
aligning
weather
stations
with
origin
and
destinati
on
airports.
Feature
scaling
w
as
performed
using
the
standard
scaler
(StandardScaler)
to
normalize
input
v
ariables.
F
or
feature
selection,
columns
with
e
xcessi
v
e
missing
data
were
remo
v
ed,
and
the
top
14
features
were
selected
based
on
mutual
information
(MI)
scores.
MI
measures
the
de
gree
of
dependenc
y
between
each
fe
ature
and
the
tar
get
v
ariable,
allo
wing
us
to
prioritize
inputs
that
contrib
ute
most
to
predicting
delays.
This
approach
impro
v
es
model
interpretability
by
TELK
OMNIKA
T
elecommun
Comput
El
Control,
V
ol.
24,
No.
2,
April
2026:
527–535
Evaluation Warning : The document was created with Spire.PDF for Python.
TELK
OMNIKA
T
elecommun
Comput
El
Control
❒
529
identifying
features
with
the
strongest
predicti
v
e
relationships,
of
fering
insights
into
which
ight
and
weather
v
ariables
most
inuence
delays.
The
nal
selected
features
comprised
one
ight
characteristic
distance;
three
origin
weather
features
de
w
point
temperature,
precipitation,
and
fe
w
clouds
at
le
v
el
1;
and
ten
destination
weather
features
dry
b
ulb
temperature,
de
w
point
temperature,
wind
speed,
wind
direction,
wind
gust,
pressure,
visibility
,
precipitation,
relati
v
e
humidity
,
and
scattered
clouds
at
le
v
el
1.
W
e
ackno
wledge
that
seasonal
imbalance
in
the
dataset
(e.g.,
higher
ight
v
olumes
in
spring
and
summer
compared
to
winter
and
autumn)
may
inuence
MI
scoring,
as
features
dominant
in
peak
seasons
could
be
o
v
eremphasized.
T
o
mitig
ate
this,
feature
selection
w
as
performed
on
both
se
asonal
subsets
and
the
combined
dataset
to
ensure
generalization
across
v
arying
traf
c
conditions.
Figure
1
illustrates
the
architecture
of
the
QBoostPlus
fram
e
w
ork,
which
inte
grates
quantum-ins
pired
optimization
within
a
lightweight
ensemble
model
to
enhance
con
v
er
gence,
generalization,
and
operational
ef
cienc
y
.
Figure
1.
System
o
w
diagram
2.2.
Model
b
uilding
and
implementation
T
o
comprehensi
v
ely
e
v
al
uate
predicti
v
e
performance,
we
implemented
three
types
of
models:
classical
ML
models,
the
QBoost
model,
and
h
ybrid
approaches.
2.2.1.
Classical
models
In
our
study
,
we
utilized
classical
ensemble
models
including
adapti
v
e
boosting
(AdaBoost),
e
xtr
eme
gradient
boosting
(XGBoost),
cate
gorical
boosting
(CatBoost),
and
v
oting
classier
(V
otingClassier)
for
clas-
sication.
AdaBoost
sequentially
impro
v
ed
performance
by
focusing
on
misclassied
instances
[24],
[25].
XGBoost
o
f
fered
high
accurac
y
and
ef
cienc
y
through
gradient
boosting
with
re
gularization
[24],
[26].
Cat-
Boost
ef
fecti
v
ely
handled
cate
gorical
features
using
ordered
boosting
[26].
The
V
otingClassier
combined
predictions
from
multiple
models
using
hard
or
soft
v
oting,
enhancing
o
v
erall
stability
and
accurac
y
[24],
[25].
2.2.2.
QBoost
model
QBoost
is
a
quantum-inspired
classication
algorithm
that
reformulates
problems
into
quadratic
un-
constrained
binary
optimization
(Q
UBO)
format
for
quantum
annealing
on
quantum
processing
units
(QPUs).
Hybrid
classical–quantum
ensemble
learning
for
r
eal-time
ight
delay
pr
ediction
at
...
(P
avan
Khanal)
Evaluation Warning : The document was created with Spire.PDF for Python.
530
❒
ISSN:
1693-6930
Due
to
limited
access
to
D-W
a
v
e
hardw
are,
we
used
the
simulated
annealing
sampler
(SimulatedAnneal-
ingSampler)
from
the
dimod
library
,
which
emulates
quantum
annealing
on
classical
hardw
are
while
preserv-
ing
the
Q
UBO
frame
w
ork
[27].
Although
it
mimics
quantum
concepts
lik
e
superposition
and
entanglement,
it
lacks
true
quantum
features
such
as
tunneling
and
lar
ge-scale
parallelism,
limiting
scalability
.
Ne
v
ertheless,
this
approach
allo
ws
ef
fecti
v
e
testing
of
quantum-inspired
models
for
classication
and
optimization.
2.2.3.
Hybrid
model
–
QBoostPlus
QBoostPlus
is
a
h
ybrid
ensemble
classication
model
that
combines
multiple
weak
classiers
using
A
UC-based
weighting.
Instead
of
relying
on
a
single
best
model,
it
e
v
aluates
each
classier’
s
A
UC
on
a
v
ali-
dation
set
and
assigns
weights
through
e
xponential
scaling,
gi
ving
more
inuence
to
stronger
classiers.
This
weighting
strate
gy
aligns
with
ensemble
fusion
theory
,
where
model
contrib
utions
are
often
scaled
by
perfor
-
mance
m
etrics
to
maximize
o
v
erall
predicti
v
e
po
wer
[28],
[29].
Predictions
are
generated
by
aggre
g
ating
the
weighted
outputs,
enhancing
both
di
v
ersity
and
accurac
y
.
Unlik
e
traditional
boosting,
QBoostPlus
a
v
oids
it-
erati
v
e
training
and
instead
focuses
on
performance-dri
v
en
fusion
of
pre-trained
models.
The
implementation
in
v
olv
es
selecting
the
best
classier
based
on
A
UC,
optionally
adding
anot
her
,
and
e
v
aluating
the
model’
s
per
-
formance
and
e
x
ecution
time.
F
ormal
equation
of
QBoostPlus:
ˆ
y
(
x
)
=
sign
N
X
i
=1
w
i
·
h
i
(
x
)
!
(1)
where,
N
=
number
of
weak
classiers,
h
i
(
x
)
=
prediction
(or
decision
function
output)
of
the
i
th
classier
on
input
x
,
w
i
=
weight
assigned
to
the
i
th
classier
bas
ed
on
its
A
UC
score
(normalized
so
P
i
w
i
=
1
),
and
ˆ
y
(
x
)
=
nal
predicted
label
(e.g.,
+1
or
−
1
).
Probability
estimation
(using
a
sigmoid
function
with
temperature
scaling):
P
(
y
=
1
|
x
)
=
1
1
+
e
x
p
−
1
T
P
N
i
=1
w
i
·
h
i
(
x
)
(2)
where,
T
=
temperature
parameter
controlling
the
softness
of
probabilities.
2.2.4.
Ev
aluation
metrics
All
models
were
e
v
aluated
using
standard
classication
metrics,
including
accurac
y
,
precision,
recall,
F1-score,
and
A
UC-recei
v
er
operating
characteristic
(R
OC),
to
assess
their
predicti
v
e
performance
compre-
hensi
v
ely
.
In
addition
to
these
e
v
aluation
metrics,
e
x
ecution
time
w
as
recorded
to
compare
the
computational
ef
cienc
y
of
classical,
quantum,
and
h
ybrid
models,
pro
viding
insights
into
both
ef
fecti
v
eness
and
practicality
for
real-w
orld
applications.
2.3.
T
oolset
and
system
conguration
The
en
vironment
used
V
isual
Studio
Code
(v1.95.3),
Python
3.x,
and
libraries
such
as
NumPy
,
pan-
das,
scikit-learn,
and
Simulated
Annealing
from
the
dimod
library
.
Experiments
were
run
on
a
system
with
an
Intel
Core
i5-1035G1
central
processing
unit
(CPU)
(1.00
GHz,
up
to
1.19
GHz),
8
GB
random
access
memory
(RAM),
and
W
indo
ws
11,
which
supported
both
ML
and
quantum-inspired
simulations
ef
ciently
.
3.
RESUL
T
AND
DISCUSSION
3.1.
Analysis
of
combined
appr
oach
f
or
all
seasons
The
combined
approach
inte
grates
ight
data
from
all
seasons
into
a
single
training
and
testing
frame-
w
ork,
enabling
a
holistic
assessment
of
delay
patterns.
By
aggre
g
ating
seasonal
v
ariations,
this
approach
captures
recurring
operational
characteristics
such
as
airport
congestion
and
systemic
inef
ciencies
while
ben-
eting
from
a
lar
ger
and
more
di
v
ers
e
dataset.
As
a
result,
the
models
e
xhibit
impro
v
ed
stability
and
reduced
susceptibility
to
o
v
ertting.
In
addition,
emplo
ying
a
single
unied
model
simplies
deplo
yment
and
lo
wers
computational
o
v
erhead,
which
is
essential
for
real-time
operational
use.
TELK
OMNIKA
T
elecommun
Comput
El
Control,
V
ol.
24,
No.
2,
April
2026:
527–535
Evaluation Warning : The document was created with Spire.PDF for Python.
TELK
OMNIKA
T
elecommun
Comput
El
Control
❒
531
Figure
2
illustrates
t
h
e
A
UC–R
OC
perf
o
r
mance
of
the
e
v
aluated
m
od
e
ls
under
the
combined
set
ting.
XGBoost,
CatBoost,
the
V
otingClassier
,
and
QBoostPlus
demonstrate
the
strongest
discriminati
v
e
capability
,
indicating
reliable
separation
between
delayed
and
on-time
ights.
In
contrast,
AdaBoost
and
QBoost
sho
w
comparati
v
ely
weak
er
performance,
suggesting
limited
rob
ustness
under
aggre
g
ated
seasonal
conditions.
Figure
3
present
s
the
relationship
between
predicti
v
e
performance
and
e
x
ecution
time.
QBoostP
lus
achie
v
es
the
f
astest
inference
time,
substantially
outperforming
other
ensemble
models.
Although
CatBoost
and
the
V
otingClassier
attain
comparable
predicti
v
e
accurac
y
,
their
signicantly
higher
e
x
ecution
times
limit
their
suitability
for
latenc
y-sensiti
v
e
en
vironments.
These
result
s
indicate
that
QBoostPlus
pro
vides
an
ef
fecti
v
e
balance
between
predicti
v
e
capabilit
y
and
computational
ef
cienc
y
,
making
it
a
strong
candidate
for
real-time
ight
delay
prediction.
Figure
2.
A
UC
R
OC
curv
e
of
combined
approach
Figure
3.
Classication
performance
vs.
e
x
ecution
time
of
combined
approach
Hybrid
classical–quantum
ensemble
learning
for
r
eal-time
ight
delay
pr
ediction
at
...
(P
avan
Khanal)
Evaluation Warning : The document was created with Spire.PDF for Python.
532
❒
ISSN:
1693-6930
3.2.
Enhancing
statistical
r
ob
ustness
of
model
e
v
aluation
T
o
ensure
reliable
performance
estimation,
cross-v
alidation
and
statistical
signicance
testing
were
emplo
yed.
T
able
1,
sum
marizes
the
a
v
erage
accurac
y
and
standard
de
viation
obtained
from
5-fold
and
10-fold
cross-v
alidation,
along
with
paired
t-test
results.
The
models
demonstrate
consistent
generalization,
with
mean
cross-v
alidation
accuracies
ranging
from
approximately
85%
to
93%.
QBoostPlus
achie
v
es
the
highest
a
v
erage
accurac
y
across
both
v
alidation
settings,
while
lo
w
standard
de
viations
indicate
stable
performance.
P
aired
t-test
results
sho
w
no
signicant
dif
ferences
between
5-fold
and
10-fold
v
alidation
(all
p
-v
alues
>
0
.
05
),
conrming
the
reli
ability
of
the
re-
ported
estimates.
These
results
highlight
that
QBoostPlus
deli
v
ers
strong
predicti
v
e
performance
with
ef
cient
computational
cost,
supporting
its
suitability
for
practical
deplo
yment.
T
able
1.
Model
performance
with
cross-v
alidation
and
signicance
testing
Model
5-fold
a
v
erage
5-fold
standard
de
viation
10-fold
a
v
erage
10-fold
standard
de
viation
t-T
est
v
alue
Signicance
le
v
el
(p)
AdaBoost
0.8283
0.0045
0.8313
0.0110
-0.7045
0.4936
CatBoost
0.8585
0.0085
0.8610
0.0121
-0.4274
0.6776
XGBoost
0.8522
0.0120
0.8532
0.0146
-0.1292
0.9000
V
otingClassier
0.8595
0.0113
0.8612
0.0131
-0.2448
0.8123
QBoost
0.8512
0.0129
0.8668
0.0103
-2.1343
0.0741
QBoostPlus
0.9168
0.0197
0.9301
0.0242
-1.0472
0.3215
3.3.
Seperate
analysis
of
each
season
Flight
delays
at
TIA
are
strongly
inuenced
by
seasonal
f
act
ors.
W
inter
fog,
spring
storms,
summer
congestion
and
heat,
and
autumnal
weather
transi
tions
introduce
distinct
operational
challenges.
T
o
account
for
these
ef
fects,
a
season-wise
e
v
aluation
w
as
conducted
to
assess
conte
xt-specic
model
beha
vior
.
As
sho
wn
in
T
able
2,
reports
the
classication
performance
and
e
x
ecution
time
of
each
model
across
the
four
seasons.
QBoostPlus
consistently
demonstrates
strong
predicti
v
e
performance,
achie
ving
its
highest
accurac
y
during
the
summer
season
while
maintaining
competiti
v
e
results
in
winter
,
spring,
and
autumn.
Im-
portantly
,
it
preserv
es
e
xceptionally
lo
w
e
x
ecution
times
across
all
seasonal
datasets,
highlighting
its
rob
ustness
under
v
arying
operational
conditions.
T
able
2.
Classication
performance
and
e
x
ecution
time
of
models
across
dif
ferent
seasons
Season
Model
A
UC
Accurac
y
F1-score
Precision
Recall
Ex
ecution
time
(ms)
W
inter
AdaBoost
0.88
0.89
0.76
0.81
0.73
495.72
CatBoost
0.90
0.91
0.81
0.88
0.88
4660.70
XGBoost
0.89
0.92
0.84
0.88
0.81
219.86
V
otingClassier
0.90
0.92
0.83
0.89
0.79
4636.98
QBoost
0.89
0.90
0.81
0.83
0.79
55.75
QBoostPlus
0.90
0.91
0.82
0.87
0.79
11.20
Spring
AdaBoost
0.82
0.90
0.63
0.66
0.62
360.62
CatBoost
0.89
0.92
0.68
0.74
0.65
4184.21
XGBoost
0.88
0.92
0.69
0.73
0.67
208.22
V
otingClassier
0.89
0.92
0.69
0.75
0.65
4783.87
QBoost
0.88
0.90
0.62
0.66
0.60
53.28
QBoostPlus
0.89
0.91
0.63
0.68
0.61
10.59
Summer
AdaBoost
0.94
0.96
0.81
0.88
0.77
570.90
CatBoost
0.93
0.97
0.85
0.98
0.78
4091.32
XGBoost
0.95
0.96
0.82
0.86
0.79
125.19
V
otingClassier
0.95
0.97
0.83
0.94
0.77
4466.01
QBoost
0.95
0.95
0.82
0.81
0.84
58.26
QBoostPlus
0.95
0.97
0.86
0.88
0.84
8.45
Autumn
AdaBoost
0.76
0.87
0.64
0.69
0.62
274.94
CatBoost
0.83
0.89
0.70
0.77
0.66
3537.77
XGBoost
0.82
0.89
0.70
0.74
0.68
162.01
V
otingClassier
0.83
0.89
0.71
0.76
0.68
4010.41
QBoost
0.82
0.87
0.68
0.70
0.68
55.21
QBoostPlus
0.83
0.88
0.69
0.71
0.68
9.09
TELK
OMNIKA
T
elecommun
Comput
El
Control,
V
ol.
24,
No.
2,
April
2026:
527–535
Evaluation Warning : The document was created with Spire.PDF for Python.
TELK
OMNIKA
T
elecommun
Comput
El
Control
❒
533
While
CatBoost
and
the
v
oting
classier
occasionally
achie
v
e
comparable
accurac
y
,
their
substantially
higher
inference
times
re
d
uc
e
their
practicality
in
en
vironments
with
limited
computational
resources
and
strict
real-time
constraints
[13].
Classical
ensemble
methods
such
as
AdaBoost
sho
w
higher
precision
in
certain
seasons
b
ut
suf
fer
from
reduced
recall,
particularly
during
autumn,
indicating
sensiti
vity
to
class
imbalance
and
temporal
v
ariabilit
y
[6],
[24].
QBoostPlus
maintains
a
balanced
trade-of
f
between
precis
ion
and
recall,
resulting
in
stable
F1-scores
e
v
en
in
challenging
seasonal
conditions.
This
beha
vior
aligns
with
prior
studies
reporting
the
dif
culty
of
delay
prediction
under
imbalanced
and
temporally
heterogeneous
data
distrib
utions
[6],
[24].
Compared
with
recently
proposed
transformer
-based
approaches
[13],
which
of
fer
strong
predicti
v
e
performance
at
the
e
xpense
of
high
computational
comple
xity
,
QBoostPlus
deli
v
ers
comparable
accurac
y
with
signicantly
lo
wer
latenc
y
.
Ov
erall,
the
seasonal
analysis
conrms
that
QBoostPlus
ef
fecti
v
ely
adapts
to
di
v
erse
operational
con-
te
xts
while
preserving
computational
ef
cienc
y
.
Its
application
to
ight
delay
prediction
at
TIA
represents,
to
the
best
of
our
kno
wledge,
the
rst
use
of
a
quantum-inspired
ensemble
learning
approach
in
the
Nepalese
a
vi-
ation
domain.
These
res
u
l
ts
suggest
strong
potential
for
broader
adoption
in
infrastructure-constrained
airports
where
scalability
and
real-time
responsi
v
eness
are
critical
[30].
4.
CONCLUSION
This
study
e
xplored
classical
and
quantum-inspired
ML
models
for
ight
delay
prediction
at
TIA,
introducing
a
h
ybrid
frame
w
ork
that
balances
computational
ef
cienc
y
with
predicti
v
e
accurac
y
.
The
ndings
highlight
the
potential
of
quantum-inspired
approaches
for
time-sensiti
v
e
a
viation
tasks,
particularly
in
airports
with
limited
resources.
This
w
ork
contrib
utes
to
adv
ancing
intelligent,
adapti
v
e
delay
prediction
systems
tai-
lored
to
comple
x
airport
operations.
Future
research
should
focus
on
implementing
this
frame
w
ork
using
actual
quantum
hardw
are
and
e
xtending
it
to
other
re
gional
airports
to
enhance
scalability
and
practical
utility
.
A
CKNO
WLEDGMENTS
The
authors
thank
T
ribhuv
an
International
Airport
(TIA)
and
the
Department
of
Hydrology
and
Me-
teorology
(DHM),
Nepal,
for
pro
viding
communication
and
meteorological
aerodrome
report
(MET
AR)
data
for
this
study
.
FUNDING
INFORMA
TION
Authors
state
no
funding
in
v
olv
ed.
A
UTHOR
CONTRIB
UTIONS
ST
A
TEMENT
This
journal
uses
the
Contri
b
ut
or
Roles
T
axonomy
(CRediT)
to
recognize
indi
vidual
author
contrib
u-
tions,
reduce
authorship
disputes,
and
f
acilitate
collaboration.
Name
of
A
uthor
C
M
So
V
a
F
o
I
R
D
O
E
V
i
Su
P
Fu
P
a
v
an
Khanal
✓
✓
✓
✓
✓
✓
✓
✓
✓
Nanda
Bikram
Adhikari
✓
✓
✓
✓
✓
✓
C
:
C
onceptualization
I
:
I
n
v
estig
ation
V
i
:
V
i
sualization
M
:
M
ethodology
R
:
R
esources
Su
:
Su
pervision
So
:
So
ftw
are
D
:
D
ata
Curation
P
:
P
roject
Administration
V
a
:
V
a
lidation
O
:
Writing
-
O
riginal
Draft
Fu
:
Fu
nding
Acquisition
F
o
:
F
o
rmal
Analysis
E
:
Writing
-
Re
vie
w
&
E
diting
CONFLICT
OF
INTEREST
ST
A
TEMENT
Authors
state
no
conict
of
interest.
Hybrid
classical–quantum
ensemble
learning
for
r
eal-time
ight
delay
pr
ediction
at
...
(P
avan
Khanal)
Evaluation Warning : The document was created with Spire.PDF for Python.
534
❒
ISSN:
1693-6930
D
A
T
A
A
V
AILABILITY
The
data
used
in
this
st
udy
were
obta
ined
from
T
ribhuv
an
International
Airport
(TIA).
Due
to
polic
y
restrictions,
t
he
dataset
is
not
publicly
a
v
ailable
b
ut
may
be
pro
vided
upon
reasonable
re
qu
e
st
to
the
corre-
sponding
author
,
subject
to
institutional
or
re
gulatory
appro
v
al.
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BIOGRAPHIES
OF
A
UTHORS
P
a
v
an
Khanal
recei
v
ed
his
Bachelor’
s
de
gree
in
Computer
Engineering
from
T
ribhuv
an
Uni
v
ersity
,
Nepal,
in
2009,
and
his
Master’
s
de
gree
in
Computer
Syst
ems
and
Kno
wledge
Engi-
neering
from
the
Institute
of
Engineering,
Pulcho
wk
Campus,
T
ribhuv
an
Uni
v
ersity
,
in
2025.
He
is
currently
serving
as
a
senior
IT
of
cer
at
the
Ci
vil
A
viation
Authority
of
Nepal.
His
current
research
interests
include
computer
netw
orking,
c
ybersecurity
,
machine
learning,
and
quantum
computing.
He
can
be
contacted
at
email:
pkhanal2008@gmail.com.
Nanda
Bikram
Adhikari
recei
v
ed
an
M.Sc.
in
Engineering
de
gree
from
the
State
Engi-
neering
Uni
v
ersity
of
Armenia
in
1994
and
a
Ph.D.
from
Nago
ya
Uni
v
ersity
,
Japan,
in
2004.
From
2004
to
2007,
he
w
ork
ed
as
a
res
earch
fello
w
at
the
National
Institute
of
Information
and
Com-
munications
T
echnology
,
T
ok
yo,
Japan,
de
v
eloping
a
rainf
all
rate
retrie
v
al
algorithm
for
the
global
precipitation
measurement
satellite
mission.
Since
2007,
he
has
been
an
Associate
Professor
in
the
Department
of
Electronics
and
Computer
Engineering,
Institut
e
of
Engineering,
Pulcho
wk
Campus,
T
ribhuv
an
Uni
v
ersity
.
He
has
published
o
v
er
40
articles
in
high-impact
SJR-rank
ed
ISI
and
Sco-
pus
journals
and
IEEE
conferences,
including
Ra
dio
Science,
IEEE
T
ransactions
on
Geoscience
and
Remote
Sensing,
A
GU,
and
MDPI
Electronics.
He
also
serv
es
as
a
re
vie
we
r
for
more
than
20
presti-
gious
journals,
including
IEEE,
Else
vier
,
and
Springer
.
He
has
authored
four
books:
Outlook
of
Re-
mote
Sensing,
Fundamentals
of
Micro
w
a
v
e
Engi
neering,
Performance
Analysis
of
Cogniti
v
e
Radio
Netw
orks
for
Resource
Sharing,
and
Design
and
Implementat
ion
of
Multi-channel
Acti
v
e
Electrode
EEG
De
vice.
His
research
interests
include
5G
and
be
yond
netw
orks,
micro
w
a
v
e
wireless
com-
munications,
softw
are-dened
netw
orks,
IoT
applications,
quantum
computing,
and
AI-based
signal
processing.
He
can
be
contacted
at
email:
adhikari@ioe.edu.np.
Hybrid
classical–quantum
ensemble
learning
for
r
eal-time
ight
delay
pr
ediction
at
...
(P
avan
Khanal)
Evaluation Warning : The document was created with Spire.PDF for Python.